EU Referendum and EU Constitution (part 1)

Chris Patten, one of the board members of the Britain in Europe campaign, argued on the Today Programme that "the job for the UK in the presidency will be to pick out the bits of the Constitution which don't require treaty change which would help us to run this extraordinary enterprise... I think we've got to pick out the bits that would enable us to run it better." (1 June)

He also said, "I think it would be absolutely barmy to give the impression that we were trying to smuggle the treaty in by the back door if it's got a big thumbs down from voters. We've made considerable progress in the last few years; not all those institutional changes require treaty change. To say there is nothing that can be done now because of the vote in France is completely preposterous."

Lord Brittan, another BiE board member, previously said on Newsnight that if there was a no vote EU leaders should "cherry pick" parts of the Constitution and go ahead with them - without a referendum. He said that the EU President in particular, should still go ahead. (24 May)

Britain in Europe appears to be split over the issue. BiE Campaign Director Lucy Powell has repeatedly said that there is no prospect of back door ratification. But two powerful members of her board appear to disagree. Douglas Alexander, the new Europe Minister, has also refused to rule out allowing parts of the Constitution to be introduced by stealth. (Today programme, 2 June)

Javier Solana, the EU Commission's high representative has signalled that the EU will continue to press ahead with the diplomatic service that is proposed in the Constitution, regardless of the referendum results. He told the German newspaper Handelsblatt, "neither the constitutional text nor the ideas contained in it are dead. There's no doubt that sooner or later the EU will have a foreign minister and a diplomatic service. What is of crucial importance now is that we keep on working as we did before and that we do not get into a psychological paralysis." (31 May) The EU has already started implementing several other aspects of the Constitution, including the European Defence Agency, the President of the Eurogroup, and the European Police College.

Some of the no campaign's new business supporters responded to suggestions that parts of the Constitution be "cherry picked" by sending a letter to the FT demanding that no parts should "be ratified by the back door. Indeed the government should commit itself to hold a referendum in the UK before implementing any substantial part of the Constitution." The signatories included, Stuart Rose, Marks and Spencer's Chief Executive, Karl Ludvigsen the Former Vice-President of Ford Europe and Sir Crispin Davis the Chief Executive of Reed Elsevier. (3 June)

While pro-euro campaigners talk about implementing only a few innocuous bits of the Constitution, the reality is that any "Constitution lite" is likely to include some of the most significant parts of the Constitution, like the EU President, EU Foreign Minister and changes to voting weights (which would cut the UK's power to block legislation by 30 percent). Pressing ahead with a few parts of the Constitution would gradually lead to implementing much of the rest of the proposals it contains. It is extraordinary that the yes camp is already talking about pressing ahead, so quickly after the French and Dutch votes.

Falling support for EU Constitution in Denmark and Luxembourg

A series of polls in Denmark have revealed a massive turnaround in opinion on the EU Constitution, with the no campaign now in the lead.

A poll by Megafon shows that 42 percent of the Danes are against the EU Constitution, compared with 36 percent in favour. Only one week ago, the Danes were in favour by a majority of 49-31 percent.

Another poll by Gallup shows that 38 percent of the Danes are against the EU Constitution, and only 34 percent are in favour. 45 percent are undecided. The poll marks an increase in opposition to the Constitution of 13 percent in less than a month.

Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen is currently waiting for the outcome of the European Council in mid-June to decide whether or not to cancel the country's referendum, planned for 27 September.

Opposition to the Constitution is also on the rise in Luxembourg, though the yes campaign remains in the lead. On 31 May the FT reported that according to the Ilres polling group, the yes camp's lead had narrowed from 59 per cent in April to 46 percent in May, while support for the no vote grew from 23 per cent to 32 per cent.

Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker, who currently holds the Presidency of the EU has confirmed that he will resign if his country votes no in their referendum on 10 July (AFP, 3 June)

EU leaders express regret at ever holding Constitution referendums

In the wake of the French and Dutch no votes in their referendums on the EU Constitution some politicians have expressed regret that the countries decided to hold referendums.

The Dutch foreign minister Bernard Bot said that it had been a mistake to let the people decide on the Constitution. He said, "We were opposed to it. We always said that this subject matter was far too complex to be made the subject of a referendum." (1 June, Sun)

Jean-Luc Dehaene, the former Belgian Prime Minister and a member of the convention which drew up the Constitution argued on the Today Programme that the Constitution should have been decided "through parliamentary discussion like it is in some of the European member states where you have a much more serene debate." (31 May)

Britain in Europe to close?

Britain in Europe (BiE), the group which was set to transform itself into the yes campaign in the UK's referendum on the EU Constitution, has announced that it might close in the near future.

Lucy Powell, BiE's campaign director, has said that "If there is to be no referendum in Britain then supporters of the treaty will not have their chance to put the case for Britain's engagement with Europe. Without a campaign to fight, Britain in Europe would have to review its future." (Times, 31 May)

The group which has struggled to find new support, due to overwhelming business opposition to the Constitution, is said to be in financial difficulties. BiE's board is reported to be split on whether the group should continue to exist. One board member was quoted in the FT saying that "The raison d'être is not there any longer" for the group to continue to exist. The group, which relies heavily on donations from the Labour peer Lord Sainsbury, is finding it difficult to attract any new donations. There has even been talk of the group starting to apply for Government grants in order for it compete effectively with the no campaign. (FT, 1 June)

One of BiE's regional campaign directors has contradicted the head office's policy line this week. Councillor Katrina Bull said that "The treaty is as French as it's going to get". This is in direct contradiction to assertions by Lucy Powell that the Constitution is a triumph for Britain over France.

Bull also contradicted the Government and BiE's attempts to pronounce the Constitution "dead". She said, "the constitutional treaty doesn't stop here. It's going to be difficult though - it's the French that started the whole process." (Nottingham Post, 31 May)

While Britain in Europe prepares to close, the no campaign is stepping up its activities. The campaign will continue to fight against attempts to introduce any parts of the Constitution through the back door without holding a referendum in the first.
 


Links:  EU Referendum

Page started 7 Jun 2005